Originally Posted by ScottyDaHotty2
What do you think SAO's final BD+DVD average will be? I'm not asking for an exact number but a general window considering only one volume is out so far.
Having Vol. 2 numbers would make guesses much easier (or maybe Vol. 3 since Vol. 2 comes with an event ticket application) but if we look at the shows in the same ballpark:
41,038 - Suzumiya Haruhi no Yuuutsu
39,930 - Sword Art Online (Vol. 1)
39,385 - K-ON!!
39,353 - Kidou Senshi Gundam 00
36,511 - Hagane no Renkinjutsushi: Fullmetal Alchemist (first series, 2003)
34,601 - Kidou Senshi Gundam 00 S2
34,116 - Angel Beats!
33,813 - IS -Infinite Stratos-
There's no indication that thhis volume is supply-constrained, or that later volumes are estimated to be considerably higher, so I think it will definitely be below K-ON!! and Gundam 00.
If it's really consistent it has a shot at beating FMA.
If it drops at the same rate as Infinite Stratos, it should still be slightly higher than Gundam 00 S2 and Angel Beats because it's ahead of IS at an equivalent point right now.
So let's say 35-37k range if it performs strongly through to the end (assuming Vol. 1 will continue to add a bit more, and 39.9k isn't its final). 33-38k at the widest likely range. Somewhere between Infinite Stratos and Gundam 00.