Originally Posted by Fencedude
Originally Posted by symbv
Vivipan did not have a final point prediction back on Jan 15th
Love Live is another title that sees the final prediction drops significantly, from 10.6k on Jan 19th to (gasp)7.4k now. But then its vol.2 has been pretty stable with 4.7k as the final prediction.
Tamakoma was last seen above #100 back on Jan 19th and its final prediction used to be near 5k but now it is a mere 3.8k.
Kagura had a final prediction points of 4k back on Jan 19th but now it has just 2.7k.
On the other hand, Haganai and Minami-ke have proved stable: 5.5k and 4.4k are very close to where they were back on Jan 19th. Same for PuchiMasu's 2.2k final prediction points.
I have been asked to point out to you that the Final Point Prediction on Stalker is calculated based on performance over the past week, not the entire life of the volume. So it will fluctuate rather wildly and is not considered a particularly useful measurement.
Oh, absolutely! I have been aware of it for years. I think you may have misunderstood the purpose of my analysis. The key point of my post is that the current Final Point Prediction data are useful
because they give you a picture of how the sales performance is trending given the support it has received from consumers. It is precisely what you said, that it is based on its recent performance, that makes it useful, contrary to what you said that it is "not considered a particularly useful measurement". This is why Amazon Stalker keeps publishing Final Point Prediction over the solicitation period even though it comes close to reflect the actual sales only in the week or so before its release. Comparison of Final Point Prediction at various stages of a season, like what I did, provides insight as to the swings and momentum of popularity of the title. In fact if you want to talk about "wild fluctuation" this is even smoother than following the hourly position in Amazon Ranking. The idea is never one about predicting the actual final sales of the title, but shift in how well it is taken by BD/DVD buying anime fans.
By the way, I wonder who asked you to point that out? (as you said "I have been asked to point out to you")