MPG
10-07-2008, 06:59 AM
Well, the "McCain/Palin are ahead" thread is a bit outdated now, seeing how Obama would win in a landslide if the elections were today. I like to follow the coverage on Yahoo, as it allows you to build your own electoral college scenarios:
http://news.yahoo.com/election/2008/dashboard
I love playing with the "custom scenario" application. However, I don't trust the Yahoo polls 100%, as they don't even list Florida and Ohio as battleground states anymore, when in fact most polls list them as battlegrounds.
Of course, the polls can still change significantly before election day. However, I think it looks like Obama might be able to win all the states that Kerry won plus possibly Florida and/or Ohio, which would be enough to win. But if he continues playing his cards really well over the next week, then he could end up with 360+ electoral votes.
I guess Obama's biggest advantage right now is that we can certainly expect a few more major gaffes from Palin. Or perhaps there is a video of her performing an exorcism on someone or something similar. I am not even joking, I would not be surprised if something like that existed.
http://news.yahoo.com/election/2008/dashboard
I love playing with the "custom scenario" application. However, I don't trust the Yahoo polls 100%, as they don't even list Florida and Ohio as battleground states anymore, when in fact most polls list them as battlegrounds.
Of course, the polls can still change significantly before election day. However, I think it looks like Obama might be able to win all the states that Kerry won plus possibly Florida and/or Ohio, which would be enough to win. But if he continues playing his cards really well over the next week, then he could end up with 360+ electoral votes.
I guess Obama's biggest advantage right now is that we can certainly expect a few more major gaffes from Palin. Or perhaps there is a video of her performing an exorcism on someone or something similar. I am not even joking, I would not be surprised if something like that existed.